Analyzing Wordle Statistics to Create a Model

Subject Area

Mathematics

Description

Using the data provided by The New York Times on their game "Wordle", it is possible to construct a model that predicts certain statistics about the game. Such as assigning any five-letter word a probability distribution pertaining to what percentage of players guess the word correctly on the 1st, 2nd, 3rd... Up to the 6th guess. The model works by assigning a difficulty value to the chosen word, then a probability distribution is generated based on the rules of the model for that difficulty value. Predicting the number of players, and number of players in hard mode is also possible.

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Analyzing Wordle Statistics to Create a Model

Using the data provided by The New York Times on their game "Wordle", it is possible to construct a model that predicts certain statistics about the game. Such as assigning any five-letter word a probability distribution pertaining to what percentage of players guess the word correctly on the 1st, 2nd, 3rd... Up to the 6th guess. The model works by assigning a difficulty value to the chosen word, then a probability distribution is generated based on the rules of the model for that difficulty value. Predicting the number of players, and number of players in hard mode is also possible.