Subject Area

Mathematics

Description

The Olympic Games constitute an international remembrance of sports excellence and peace in which winning medals constitutes a matter of great personal and national significance to athletes and nations. A forecasting of future medal outcomes has developed into a large application of sports analytics, but one with an elusive challenge inherent in varying performer performance, variable event rosters, and external factors like coach and home-based support. We were tasked with developing a model that could predict the top seven countries medal totals for the 2028 Summer Olympics in Los Angeles. While there are limitations to each model, collectively they represent a strong foundation for improving predictive accuracy for future Olympic analysis.

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Mathematical Modeling Contest: Predicting Olympic Game Medals​

The Olympic Games constitute an international remembrance of sports excellence and peace in which winning medals constitutes a matter of great personal and national significance to athletes and nations. A forecasting of future medal outcomes has developed into a large application of sports analytics, but one with an elusive challenge inherent in varying performer performance, variable event rosters, and external factors like coach and home-based support. We were tasked with developing a model that could predict the top seven countries medal totals for the 2028 Summer Olympics in Los Angeles. While there are limitations to each model, collectively they represent a strong foundation for improving predictive accuracy for future Olympic analysis.